- Clickbait headline but fascinating article that describes what happen when mice populations grow with all their needs met, with various stages of disintegration.
- "He believed that the mouse experiment may also apply to humans, and warned of a day where – god forbid – all our needs are met."
- "Not all of Calhoun’s rats had gone berserk. Those who managed to control space led relatively normal lives"
- "Criticized for creating not an overpopulation problem, but rather a scenario where the more aggressive mice were able to control the territory and isolate everyone else"
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- TLDR:
- Book in 1970s, then study published recently that examines book predictions.
- Multiple scenarios - the graphs are a really nicely compressed way to understand what's obviously a very complex equation.
- 1. Business as usual - catastrophic outcome due to natural resource shortage - population crashes.
- 2. BAU2 - catastrophic outcome due to pollution - population crashes.
- 3. Technology solves natural resource and pollution problems - population declines but corrects itself.
- Stabilized World - global priorities and social norms shift. Population grows slowly.
- Author's conclusion: Still too early to tell which scenario we're heading toward (prediction charts are similar until 2020, don't diverge until after), so it's still too early to know. But his gut is BAU2, which is, not good.
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