0/ Predicting the future is hard The most common way to do this is by using data, and extrapolating from the past This works ok when things are changing in a predictable-ish way But sometimes things change unpredictability 2022 will be a year of unpredictable changes

almost 2 years ago

2021 will be better than 2020. Here’s why: gatesnot.es/3mHXkp8

over 2 years ago

To avoid a climate disaster, we need to eliminate emissions from the ways we create electricity, grow food, make things, move around, and heat and cool our buildings. It won’t be easy, but I believe we can do it. This book is about what it will take. gatesnot.es/2ZdYWO2

These students are doing inspiring work. Their ambition makes me optimistic about the future of health care (and the world). twitter.com/TIME/status/14…

Getting an early start on my weekend reading: this article does a good job explaining immunity and what may happen with COVID-19 in the future. b-gat.es/3BDxuLx

over 2 years ago

Today’s United Nations climate report is an urgent call to action for the world: we must reach net-zero emissions by 2050 to avoid a climate disaster. b-gat.es/3s4RRNh

.@VMware's @PGelsinger has a very simple formula for the U.S. to be restored and for long-term leadership in the future of work and 5G tech. @jonfortt #CNBCatWork pic.twitter.com/zegbpLqnH1

I see several opportunities for emerging technologies such as edge computing and #AI to help make cities safer and more efficient long term. Great use cases outlined here. bit.ly/3jBFIL8

Elon vs Bezos will be the defining genius duels of the first half of the 21st Century. And our planet and all its living beings, our 2nd planet, Mars, and all our future satellite homes across the galaxies in the future, will be the beneficiaries.

Close to free capital Close to free cloud infrastructure Easy employment backup plans for founders (not much risk) Physical and biological worlds becoming machine readable (and programmable) APIs for everything ... The change and experimentation we are about to see is 🤯

If you're over the age of 23: You will (most likely) under-appreciate appreciate how powerful new technologies will be. It's probably optimal to assume this bug is in every bit of software your brain runs.

over 2 years ago

AR + Voice technology = Game changer. Prediction: Future conversations will look like an episode of the Joe Rogan experience. An automated Jamie pulling up and visualising talking points live in real time.

over 2 years ago

2 ways to think about the future: 1. Present focused - Ask what exists 10 years from now that will seem crazy by today's standards. 2. Future-focused - Ask what currently exists that will seem crazy 10 years from now.

over 2 years ago

How to predict the future: 1. Look for technological innovations in the sex industry 2. Assume it will be mainstream in 5-10 years Very early adopters of online video, streaming, and payments. They are now leading the way in creator monetization (Onlyfans) and VR...

over 2 years ago

Visions of the future should be mocked. The goal is to be obvious to everyone in hindsight - not in foresight. If most people agree with you now, you are either wrong or not thinking hard enough.

over 2 years ago

Was listening to a recent @Radiolab podcast on Eugenics and so many thoughts came to my mind: - Startups are propping up that offer genetic tests for embryos cultivated in IVF. If there are 5 embryos, you can pick and choose the one you want for your kid (for disease avoidance)

over 2 years ago